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The Consumer Sentiment vs. Consumer Spending Puzzle

Shownote

Wherever consumer sentiment goes, consumer spending usually goes too. They’re like buddies that do everything together. Consumer sentiment wants a hair cut, its buddy consumer spending does too. But lately, these friends are drifting apart. While consume...

Highlights

Consumer sentiment and spending have long moved in tandem, but recent economic trends reveal a puzzling split. Even as people express growing pessimism about the economy, their wallets tell a different story—spending stays strong. This contradiction raises questions about what truly drives consumer behavior and whether current economic strength is as broad-based as it appears.
07:45
Credit card data covers about 80% of credit card balances in the U.S.
09:30
The wealthiest 20% were responsible for over half of credit card spending.
15:58
In a K-shaped economy, those at the top are doing better while those at the bottom are falling behind.

Chapters

Why Are People Gloomy But Still Spending?
00:00
How Credit Card Data Reveals Hidden Spending Trends
06:12
Who’s Really Powering the Consumer Economy?
09:30
Is the K-Shaped Recovery Here to Stay?
15:58
What Happens When the Wealthy Cut Back?
19:06

Transcript

Speaker 4: This message comes from NPR sponsor Charles Schwab. Financial decisions can be tricky. Your biases can lead you astray. Financial Decoder, an original podcast from Charles Schwab, can help. Download the latest episode and subscribe at schwab.com...