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TIP825: Meta, Adobe, Booking Holdings w/ Stig Brodersen, Tobias Carlisle & Hari Ramachandra

Shownote

In today’s episode, Stig Brodersen is joined by Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra for a new round of stock pitches. Hari makes the case for Meta as a leading AI-powered advertising platform. Tobias breaks down Booking Holdings and whether its travel moa...

Highlights

In this episode, Stig Brodersen, Tobias Carlisle, and Hari Ramachandra present their latest stock pitches, each analyzing a major tech company's prospects amid the rise of artificial intelligence. The discussion covers the bull and bear cases for Meta, Booking Holdings, and Adobe, focusing on how AI might disrupt or enhance their business models.
00:00
Hari pitches Meta, discussing strong performance amid market sell-offs and AI spending concerns.
02:31
Meta's ad business set to surpass Google in 2026 revenue
10:04
AI is currently constrained by power, real estate, and chips
14:32
Booking's specialized relationships keep it central to travel booking.
24:47
LLMs could replace the aggregator role.
36:16
Human nature and self-interest make disruption difficult.
37:25
Switching costs protect Adobe's subscription model

Chapters

Intro
00:00
Why Hari is bullish on Meta (Ticker: META), highlighting its advertising dominance, network effects, and long-term monetization potential.
02:31
The bear case for Meta, including massive AI infrastructure spending, uncertain returns on capital, and execution risk around AI monetization.
03:38
Why Tobias is bullish on Booking Holdings (Ticker: BKNG), emphasizing its capital-light business model and robust travel ecosystem.
14:27
The bear case for Booking Holdings, including AI-driven loss of customer mindshare, and potential pressure on its role in the travel booking value chain.
18:46
Why Stig is bullish on Adobe, focusing on its switching costs and subscription-based revenue model (Ticker: NASDAQ: ADBE).
27:43
The bear case for Adobe, including AI-generated content and the increasing competition from tools like Canva and LLMs.
37:21

Transcript

Tobias Carlisle: You're listening to TIP. Stig Brodersen: In today's episode, I'm joined by my friends and fellow value investors, Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra, for another round of, dare I say, unloved stock pitches. We kick things off with Hari'...