This Is How OpenAI Goes Broke — ft. Sebastian Mallaby
Prof G Markets
Jul 10
This Is How OpenAI Goes Broke — ft. Sebastian Mallaby
This Is How OpenAI Goes Broke — ft. Sebastian Mallaby

Prof G Markets
Jul 10
Shownote
Shownote
Ed Elson sits down with Sebastian Mallaby to discuss why he believes there's a
real chance OpenAI runs out of money within the next 18 months, and what that
would mean for the broader AI industry. He also explains why he doesn't
necessarily see Meta's decision to sell excess compute capacity as a bear
signal, why he was encouraged by the Trump administration's new AI policy, and
how he expects the AI race to unfold over the coming years.
Sebastian Mallaby is a prominent journalist, author, Pulitzer Prize finalist,
and senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. His latest book is The
Infinity Machine: Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, and the Quest for Superintelligence.
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Highlights
Highlights
In this episode, Ed Elson and Sebastian Mallaby delve into the precarious financial state of OpenAI, predicting a potential cash crisis within the next year and a half. They explore the broader implications for the AI industry, from market consolidation to the role of government intervention, and discuss the surprising pace of Chinese AI development despite export controls.
Chapters
Chapters
Is OpenAI Heading for a Cash Crisis in 18 Months?
00:00OpenAI vs. Anthropic: A Tale of Two Strategies and a $21 Billion Loss
06:50Is the AI Bubble Real? Meta's Compute Sale and Market Rationalization
12:57Sam Altman's Government Bailout Plan: Cheating Capitalism or National Security?
19:18China's AI Surprise: How DeepSeek Nearly Matches GPT-4o Despite US Curbs
28:34The New Nuclear Age: Why the US and China Must Collaborate on AI Safety
37:30Transcript
Transcript
Ed Elson: From the Goldman Sachs trading floor, in 10 minutes or less, investors and analysts share timely analysis on the week's market activity. The Markets Podcast from Goldman Sachs. Listen now. A lot of companies are investing in AI, but most only hav...
