Dan Wang - The US vs China In The 21st Century - [Invest Like the Best, EP.444]
Dan Wang - The US vs China In The 21st Century - [Invest Like the Best, EP.444]
Dan Wang - The US vs China In The 21st Century - [Invest Like the Best, EP.444]
Shownote
Shownote
My guest today is Dan Wang. Dan is a technology analyst and author who spent six years living in China studying its manufacturing ecosystem and tech development, best known for his new book Breakneck. Dan offers the most nuanced framework I've encountered for understanding US-China competition. We explore a critical asymmetry: it's far harder for the US to rebuild manufacturing capacity than for China to improve scientific research, with profound implications for AI, national security, and investment returns. For investors, Dan explains the "ByteDance problem"—why exceptional Chinese companies trade at massive discounts due to Communist Party unpredictability and geopolitical risks. He argues China is a "high agency" society that executes relentlessly while America deliberates endlessly, yet also reveals the societal cost. We discuss innovation, state capacity, and investing across both superpowers. Please enjoy my conversation with Dan Wang.
For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here.
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Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).
Show Notes:
(00:00:00) Welcome to Invest Like the Best
(00:05:55) China's Engineering State and Social Engineering
(00:12:15) US-China Competition: Innovation and Manufacturing
(00:19:41) The Future of US and China: Technological and Economic Perspectives
(00:25:22) Cultural and Work Ethic Comparisons
(00:39:09) Investing in China: Opportunities and Risks
(00:44:43) Future Equilibrium States Between US and China
(00:48:32) China's High Agency and Infrastructure
(00:49:58) Lawyerly Tendencies in US Society
(00:53:41) Comparing US and Chinese Societal Structures
(00:57:59) China's Historical Lessons and Future Prospects
(01:10:39) AI and Technological Competition
(01:15:30) Vertical Integration in Chinese Companies
(01:26:39) The Kindest Thing
Highlights
Highlights
In this episode, Dan Wang, a technology analyst with deep experience in China's tech and manufacturing landscape, offers a compelling analysis of the evolving U.S.-China competition. Drawing from his book *Breakneck*, he unpacks the structural differences between the two powers that shape their technological trajectories, economic models, and societal priorities—providing investors and policymakers with a nuanced lens beyond conventional geopolitical narratives.
Chapters
Chapters
Welcome to Invest Like the Best
00:00China's Engineering State and Social Engineering
05:55US-China Competition: Innovation and Manufacturing
12:15The Future of US and China: Technological and Economic Perspectives
19:41Cultural and Work Ethic Comparisons
25:22Investing in China: Opportunities and Risks
39:09Future Equilibrium States Between US and China
44:43China's High Agency and Infrastructure
48:32Lawyerly Tendencies in US Society
49:58Comparing US and Chinese Societal Structures
53:41China's Historical Lessons and Future Prospects
57:59AI and Technological Competition
1:10:39Vertical Integration in Chinese Companies
1:15:30The Kindest Thing
1:26:39Transcript
Transcript
Patrick O'Shaughnessy: The best operators have a relentless focus on leverage, finding ways to multiply their impact rather than just working harder. But here's what I see happening in finance teams everywhere. Brilliant people getting buried in expense ma...
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