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The Rise, Fall & Reset of The Fintech Industry

The a16z Show

2025/12/19
The a16z Show

The a16z Show

2025/12/19
The fintech landscape has weathered a turbulent few years, swinging from explosive growth to sharp contraction and now showing signs of a resilient comeback. What once seemed like an unstoppable wave of innovation hit macroeconomic headwinds, forcing startups and incumbents alike to adapt or perish.
Fintech's rapid rise in 2020–2021 was fueled by low rates, abundant capital, and digital adoption, but the tide turned as interest rates climbed, exposing weaknesses in lending-heavy models. The downturn eliminated weaker players, while survivors evolved into more sustainable, full-stack operations. Today, the sector is rebounding, driven by AI, embedded finance, and deeper collaboration between startups and traditional institutions. AI is proving transformative—not just for innovation, but alarmingly in enabling sophisticated fraud at scale, prompting urgent development of countermeasures like Plaid’s Protect suite. Meanwhile, new tools such as LendScore are redefining credit access and risk assessment. Companies like Plaid have used the 'fintech winter' to strengthen infrastructure and product offerings, positioning themselves for long-term impact. The future points toward autonomous financial systems, smarter underwriting, and more secure, seamless experiences—ushering in what feels less like a restart and more like the early bloom of a new era.
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25% of venture dollars flowed into fintech during 2020–2021 peak
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AI is driving productivity gains in major financial institutions adopting external technology
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AI could enable self-driving money apps that automate financial decisions.
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The biggest current use-case of AI in financial services is fraud committed by fraudsters.
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Pig butchering fraud is now often AI-driven and manipulates people into sending money to strangers.
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The fintech winter allowed Plaid to prove itself and launch critical products.
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Plaid's LendScore offers a modern alternative to traditional credit scores