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OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis

Shownote

(0:00) Bestie intros! Gavin Baker, Ben Shapiro, and Phil Deutch join the show (7:32) GPT-5 underwhelms, benchmark saturation, OpenAI's product excellence (18:14) AI's TAM, ROIC, and energy implications (27:27) China's major advantage and how the US can ...

Highlights

The All-In Podcast returns with a dynamic discussion featuring Gavin Baker, Ben Shapiro, and Phil Deutch. The conversation kicks off with reflections on recent tech developments, global economic competition, and policy debates that are shaping the future of innovation and capitalism.
02:41
Ben Shapiro discusses his new book, 'Lions and Scavengers'
12:55
ChatGPT-5's multimodal ability to self-select the appropriate model is a major upgrade
24:12
China added more solar panels in 2023 than the U.S., India, Japan, and Germany combined
27:31
China aims to beat the US in capitalism using AI and global brands
43:46
Subsidies for solar and wind created a disincentive for nuclear investment
58:51
Private sector demand and reduced bureaucracy are driving investment in small nuclear reactors.
1:24:48
Tariffs have been less damaging than expected, with no retaliation seen
1:27:51
DOJ uncovers $1 billion in smuggled Nvidia chips to China
1:39:07
30 million electric vehicles in 2030 could provide 2,400–3,300 gigawatts of energy storage
1:44:41
'All About Me' by Mel Brooks and 'Who Knew?' by Barry Diller are praised as standout biographies.

Chapters

Bestie intros! Gavin Baker, Ben Shapiro, and Phil Deutch join the show
00:00
GPT-5 underwhelms, benchmark saturation, OpenAI's product excellence
07:32
AI's TAM, ROIC, and energy implications
18:14
China's major advantage and how the US can counter it
27:27
Political parties picking winners, energy subsidy reversal, how the bureaucratic branch was created and how to fix it
43:46
Socialism, OBBB impact on energy, does socialism in the US rely on Mamdani in NYC?
52:38
Tariffs update: $125B revenue so far, India and Switzerland hit hard, Trump's ad hoc approach
1:10:00
Nvidia chips being smuggled to China
1:27:51
Apple's $700B in buybacks since 2015 and failing AI strategy
1:31:13
Summer reading recommendations
1:40:09

Transcript

Jason Calacanis: i just want to let Friedberg know he told me to stop taking my nicotine patches because I had brought too much energy. Freeberg you see what I got here, nick? David Friedberg: Blur that out. See what we're not doing, we're not doing promo...