Leopold is Back! Big Tech Earnings, Defense Tech Deep Dive | Richard Craib, Trae Stephens, Blake Resnick
TBPN
1 DAYS AGO
Leopold is Back! Big Tech Earnings, Defense Tech Deep Dive | Richard Craib, Trae Stephens, Blake Resnick
Leopold is Back! Big Tech Earnings, Defense Tech Deep Dive | Richard Craib, Trae Stephens, Blake Resnick

TBPN
1 DAYS AGO
This episode covers a range of topics from market analysis to frontier technology. The hosts begin by discussing a letter from AI-focused fund manager Leopold Aschenbrenner after a difficult month, then move on to Big Tech earnings. The show features in-depth interviews with Richard Craib of Numerai on AI-driven investing, Trae Stephens of Anduril on defense tech and venture capital, and Blake Resnick of BRINC on public-safety drones.
The hosts analyze Aschenbrenner's response to his fund's drawdown, praising his transparency and noting the fund remains up 80% year-to-date. They contrast his situation with historical blow-ups like Archegos. Following a brief look at strong Big Tech earnings, Richard Craib discusses Numerai's approach to generating true alpha by hedging against market factors, arguing that disciplined risk management and sustainable strategies are superior to chasing short-term gains. Trae Stephens then talks about the volatile venture landscape, Anduril's new autonomous helicopter, and the scaling of its manufacturing. He also makes a case for mandatory civil service and shares Founders Fund's investment philosophy. Finally, Blake Resnick tours BRINC's facilities, detailing its $125 million raise, its partnership with Motorola Solutions, and its mission to deploy autonomous emergency-response drones nationwide, while highlighting gaps in the domestic drone supply chain.
07:51
07:51
The fund is still up 80% year-to-date despite the drawdown.
29:28
29:28
AI spending drove strong earnings for Big Tech.
51:24
51:24
High volatility is the real mistake, not leverage.
1:14:14
1:14:14
Attritable, unmanned systems reduce risk and cost over large, crewed assets.
1:40:35
1:40:35
Only 1% of potential buildings have drone capabilities.
1:53:54
1:53:54
Measuring high-end AI performance remains a challenge.