TIP776: Stig Brodersen’s Mental Models & Portfolio Update
TIP776: Stig Brodersen’s Mental Models & Portfolio Update
TIP776: Stig Brodersen’s Mental Models & Portfolio Update
In this episode, Clay sits down with investor Stig Brodersen to dive into his evolving investment strategy, recent portfolio decisions, and the mental models shaping his approach in 2025. With a focus on long-term wealth preservation and disciplined decision-making, Stig shares insights from years of market experience, offering listeners a candid look at how top investors adapt their thinking in shifting environments.
Stig Brodersen discusses his shift from aggressive growth to capital preservation, now checking his portfolio just once a year and anchoring it with Berkshire Hathaway. He explains his decision to exit Evolution AB despite its strong fundamentals, citing opportunity cost and the emergence of more compelling investments like Uber. His conviction in Uber has grown significantly, scaling his position to 7% of his portfolio due to its operating leverage, expanding Uber One subscription base, and rising advertising revenue. He remains confident despite risks like Tesla’s robo-taxis, emphasizing Uber’s two-sided marketplace strength and ecosystem monetization. On AI, Stig sees Alphabet as a key infrastructure player, absorbing higher costs while maintaining profitability. The conversation also touches on mental models, the value of operational leverage, and the importance of probabilistic thinking in investing. Finally, listeners are invited to join live events during Berkshire Hathaway’s shareholder weekend in Omaha, fostering community and deeper learning opportunities.
08:08
08:08
Gross margins dropped from 90% to 86%, but are still good
11:51
11:51
Evolution AB offers an 8% shareholder yield and treats shareholders well
36:13
36:13
Uber One has over 60% year-on-year growth and membership margins similar to Costco's
1:01:32
1:01:32
Berkshire Hathaway invests over $4 billion in Alphabet, signaling confidence in its AI infrastructure role
1:10:18
1:10:18
Living within one's means provides a powerful investing edge.
