scripod.com

a16z's State of Crypto: The $4 Trillion Milestone and What's Next'

The crypto landscape has shifted dramatically, moving from speculative hype to institutional integration. With stablecoins now playing a pivotal role in global finance and major financial players embracing digital assets, the industry is maturing in ways that signal long-term structural change rather than fleeting trends.
Crypto has reached a $4 trillion market cap not through retail speculation but via institutional adoption and regulatory clarity. Stablecoins are now top holders of U.S. Treasuries and processed $46 trillion in transactions, reflecting real economic use—especially in emerging markets. Unlike past cycles, developer activity hasn't surged alongside prices, as talent migrates to AI, though Bitcoin's utility is growing with DeFi integrations and projects like BitVM. Institutional demand is rising through ETFs, tokenized assets, and corporate involvement from firms like BlackRock and Stripe. Privacy remains a critical gap, with less than 1% of stablecoin transfers being private, yet it’s seen as essential for mainstream institutional adoption. Meanwhile, quantum computing poses a long-term threat to Bitcoin security, and while meme coins reflect cultural engagement, real innovation lies in infrastructure, prediction markets, and self-custodial financial systems. The path forward points to crypto becoming embedded in traditional finance with programmable money and compliant, scalable networks.
00:00
00:00
Bitcoin is now a top 10 asset globally
25:36
25:36
A third of South Americans interact with crypto despite poor UX
36:16
36:16
Around 6.7 million Bitcoin, worth ~$750 billion, are vulnerable to quantum computing threats.
51:24
51:24
Over the past year, there was $46 trillion in stablecoin transaction volume.
1:02:29
1:02:29
Privacy in crypto is inevitable as mainstream financial use grows
1:12:16
1:12:16
PAX Gold is an attractive way to get gold exposure without fees or storage issues
1:28:46
1:28:46
Prediction markets have finally found product-market fit after years of experimentation.
1:33:16
1:33:16
In 2026, crypto will become an 'adult' with clear regulations and more institutional adoption.