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#1 Michael Mauboussin: When To Trust Your Gut

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#1 Michael Mauboussin: When To Trust Your Gut

The Knowledge Project

2015/04/28
The Knowledge Project

The Knowledge Project

2015/04/28
OverviewShownoteHighlightsTranscriptChaptersPins

Shownote

Multiple best selling author and financial strategist Michael Mauboussin shares his wisdom on parenting, daily routines, reading, and how to make better decisions.   Go Premium: Members get early access, ad-free episodes, hand-edited transcripts, searcha...

Highlights

In this episode, Michael Mauboussin—a leading thinker on decision-making, strategy, and intellectual development—joins the conversation to explore how habits, intuition, and structured thinking shape better judgment in both personal life and complex organizations.
05:14
Physical books enhance spatial memory and recall compared to e-readers
07:49
Intuition is overestimated and must be distinguished from true expertise
12:59
The key is to clarify the problem, surface alternatives, and ensure all possible solutions are considered
21:11
Computers handle data, understand base rates, and make non-emotional decisions
28:51
A lost bet became a teachable moment on probability for his son
36:24
Michael recommends Ed Catmull and Michael Gazzaniga as high-value future guests for The Knowledge Project

Chapters

How daily rhythms and physical books build sharper thinking
00:00
When can you trust your gut—and when should you override it?
07:49
Why judging leaders by results distorts good decision-making
12:59
What algorithms do better than humans—and why leaders resist them
18:28
How a simple game and family bets teach probability intuitively
23:57
What it really takes to stay open-minded as an expert
31:00

Transcript

Shane Parrish: Welcome to The Knowledge Project. I'm your host, Shane Parrish. I'm the author of the Farnam Street Blog, a website dedicated to mastering the best of what other people have already figured out. The Knowledge Project is an experiment in whic...