What Does China Want? The Authors of a New Paper Challenge the DC Consensus
Sinica Podcast
2025/09/02
What Does China Want? The Authors of a New Paper Challenge the DC Consensus
What Does China Want? The Authors of a New Paper Challenge the DC Consensus

Sinica Podcast
2025/09/02
This episode of Sinica brings together three scholars whose recent research challenges widely held assumptions in U.S. foreign policy circles about China’s global ambitions. Through a data-driven analysis of Chinese official discourse, they uncover a strategic posture more focused on internal stability and historical continuity than on overturning the international order. Their findings prompt a critical reevaluation of how Washington interprets Beijing’s actions.
The discussion centers on a new study that analyzes Chinese state media and leadership speeches using computational methods, revealing that China's rhetoric consistently emphasizes governance, anti-corruption, and regime stability rather than global dominance. The guests argue that Western interpretations often misread China’s intentions due to Eurocentric biases and selective quoting. Linguistic nuances, such as the negative connotation of 'hegemony' (baquan) in Chinese, further undermine claims of expansionist aims. Historical context shows China views Taiwan as a core issue of reunification, not conquest, and regional actors largely reject the idea of Chinese expansionism. Even initiatives like the Belt and Road are driven more by economic necessity than ideological projection. The paper critiques realist theories for failing to account for China’s distinct strategic logic and warns that U.S. containment policies may exacerbate tensions unnecessarily. The conversation concludes with reflections on scholarly responsibility and the importance of grounding policy in empirical analysis rather than worst-case scenarios.
05:36
05:36
China is primarily a status quo power focused on regime stability.
17:34
17:34
Internal threats, not external invasions, have historically been more consequential for East Asian dynasties
31:57
31:57
The term 'baquan' has negative connotations in Chinese, influencing how China views global dominance.
40:57
40:57
China has no intention to supplant the U.S. despite shifts in global power.
44:27
44:27
China's concern for Taiwan has historical roots.
1:05:55
1:05:55
The Belt and Road Initiative was motivated by China's excess capacity as much as global development needs.
1:12:38
1:12:38
China prioritizes domestic stability over external expansion